**Background:** Hyperphenylalaninemias (HPA) are autosomal recessive disorders caused by defects in phenylalanine metabolism, most commonly due to PAH gene mutations. Genotype-phenotype correlations using the Allelic Phenotype Value (APV) and Genotypic Phenotype Value (GPV) system have reported validity between 80% and 90%, but discrepancies remain. This study aimed to characterize the mutation spectrum in a large Italian cohort and evaluate the reliability of APV/GPV-based predictions.
**Methods:** Medical records of 826 HPA patients in follow-up at the Clinical Department of Paediatrics, San Paolo Hospital, University of Milan, Italy, between 1955 and 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. Genetic analysis included DGGE, direct sequencing, HRM, Sanger sequencing, MLPA, and NGS. Variants were classified using ClinVar, PAHvdb, LOVD, HGMD, and ACMG criteria. APV and GPV were calculated per the Garbade system (APV 0–10; cPKU: 0–2.7, mPKU: 2.8–6.6, mHPA: 6.7–10). Phenotype was classified by pre-treatment Phe levels: cPKU ≥1200 μmol/L, mPKU 600–1199 μmol/L, mHPA <599 μmol/L. Linear discriminant analysis was used to compare expected vs. actual phenotypes.
**Key Results:** Of 826 patients, 814 (99%) had PKU or HPA (mean age 18.75±12.63 years, predominantly Caucasian). Twelve patients had BH4 deficiencies (9 PTPS, 2 PCD, 1 DHPR). A total of 166 different PAH variants were identified across all 13 exons and the 3′UTR. The most frequent variant was p.Ala403Val (149 alleles, 9.81%), followed by p.Arg261Gln (126 alleles, 8.29%), p.Val245Ala (121 alleles, 7.96%), IVS10-11 g>a (103 alleles, 6.78%), p.Tyr414Cys and p.Leu48Ser (84 alleles each, 5.53%). Seven novel variants were identified: p.Leu91Pro, p.Val190Glu, p.Glu316Val, p.Trp326Cys, p.Ser359Pro, p.Lys195Glu, and p.Asp338Ala, all predicted as pathogenic/likely pathogenic. APV/GPV could be calculated for 748 patients (92%). Overall, phenotype prediction matched in 85% of cases (n=638). For GPV ≤2.7 (expected cPKU), reliability was 76% (n=169); 17% presented with mPKU and 7% with mHPA. For GPV 2.7–6.7 (expected mPKU), reliability was only 48% (n=43); 7% presented with cPKU and 45% with mHPA. For GPV ≥6.7 (expected mHPA), reliability was 98%. Among patients with GPV ≥6.7, 90% (n=394) did not require treatment and 10% (n=42) required treatment, with mean Phe levels of 195.80±60.20 μmol/L and 513.85±145.23 μmol/L, respectively. No clinically useful GPV cut-off to discriminate treatment need could be identified via ROC analysis. Variants p.Leu48Ser, p.Tyr414Cys, and p.Glu390Gly were frequently associated with unexpected phenotypes.
**Clinical Implications:** The APV/GPV system is helpful but not sufficient alone for phenotype prediction, with notable discrepancies especially in the mPKU category (only 48% accuracy). Variants such as p.Leu48Ser and p.Tyr414Cys show variable expressiveness, possibly due to allosteric mechanisms or interallelic complementation. Clinicians should interpret GPV predictions cautiously and consider additional clinical and biochemical data. The identification of 7 novel PAH variants expands the known mutation spectrum. Further research is needed to identify modifying factors and improve predictive accuracy for personalized treatment decisions.